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Country Dossier · The Baltics

Latvia

As of October 2026 · By Desmond Sala

Relationship with Moscow

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1 / 5 · Adversarial

Openly opposed to the Kremlin; firmly in the Western camp.

Moscow Lens Project · Introduction

Three decades after the Soviet Union’s dissolution, Russia still shapes the political choices of the countries that emerged from it, whether through alignment, wariness, or open conflict. This project attempts to provide a brief overview of each post-Soviet state, besides Russia and Ukraine, which are better known generally, and whose relationship is defined by the Russian invasion and Russo-Ukrainian War. The Moscow Lens Project examines each state’s national politics and its relationship with the Kremlin, giving readers the background knowledge to understand the region as a whole. Information is current as of October 2026.

Background and Political Overview

Latvia is a Baltic state, a member of the European Union and NATO. They are a parliamentary democracy, representing 1.8 million people, with 24% of them being ethnically Russian. During the dissolution of the Soviet Union, they were among the first Soviet republics to gain independence. After gaining independence, they immediately passed resolutions protecting equal rights for citizens of all nationalities. Under Vaira Vīķe-Freiberga, the first female head of state in the former Soviet bloc, they completed the initiative to join the EU and NATO. The Latvian parliament has never had an outright majority, and they have historically relied on coalition governments. Importantly, Latvian parties have maintained a cordon sanitaire, excluding pro-Russian parties from governing coalitions.

They recently had an election on October 3rd, 2026. The United List, a centrist party, swept the election on a platform focused heavily on national security, commitment to NATO and Ukraine, economic reform, and Rural Development. As with the other Baltic Nations, a key issue is integrating Russians within the Latvian state. Alternative Populist parties, such as Latvia First and Sovereign Power, a Latvian and Latvian-Russian Alt-Right party, respectively, are also growing as opposition voices; however, the United List can form a government with either the National Alliance, a conservative party, or The Progressives, a social-democratic party. Either way, this election maintains Latvia's position as a Western ally amid worries about Russian influence inside and outside the country.

Stance on Russia

Latvia has a strained relationship with Russia. Following the Russian invasion of Ukraine, Latvia expelled the Russian ambassador, and the position remains empty. This was not always the case after Latvian Independence, with the two nations maintaining normal relations until Russia's occupation of Crimea. This event began the dissolution of trade between the two countries, with Latvia imposing sanctions in step with the rest of NATO, and Russia banning Latvian imports. After Russia invaded Ukraine, Latvia pledged material support to the Ukrainians. This has also heightened tensions with the ethnic Russians within the nation, leading to the Latvian government even deporting some Russians who refused Latvian language tests or tests of loyalty.

The Moscow Lens scale

  1. 1AdversarialOpenly opposed to the Kremlin; firmly in the Western camp.
  2. 2StrainedTense relations and pushing away, though Moscow retains leverage.
  3. 3BalancingHedging between Moscow and other powers; neither aligned nor opposed.
  4. 4AlignedA Russian ally, economically and militarily tied to Moscow.
  5. 5SubordinateMoves in lockstep with the Kremlin; an extension of Moscow.

Sources